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Dear friend,
I believe we are seeing a major inflection point in history. These type of inflection points only happen once ever few generations it is a major shift in the power structure of society. In the thirties there was a shift from markets and financiers on wall street to government and politicians under the policies of FDR. In the seventies and eighties there was a shift to deregulation, globalisation and a Wall Street driven economy.
I believe that with the Brexit vote last year and the election of Trump we are moving towards a populist driven shift to more government power and less centralized power from Wall Street and the Central banks.
This shift will begin to change the nature of markets and they will become more volatile even if right now they are super calm. We have specific risk management trades that will profit from this change.
One of our major themes for the coming years is Hypernormlisation.
Hypernormalisation was a term used to describe the Soviet Union in the late seventies. At that time most people in the country no longer believed in their system but just went along with it and its fakeness cause they did not know anything else and did not know what would happen if hte system collapsed. This is what has happened to us in the west, in the the financial markets. We now believe in QE, stock buybacks and a “fake stock market” pitted on cheap money rather than internal growth. However, the coming shift in policies is going to change this into a new normal and end the fakeness.
One result is that gold will rise.
And it is already starting to go up with the right gold mining stocks set to soar.
You already have seen uranium stocks shoot up this year to show you what happens when money goes into small sectors like this.
Here are some basic points on how we plan on profiting from the new normal:
1. In a overvalued stock market you must be careful in chasing everything. So we will buy cheap beat up companies that can rebound no matter how the market does in the short term. We have five such companies we recommend buying at the moment and a new IPO issue that we will feel will be a growth company as well (which is in a recession proof business).
2. We will short companies that are in industries that will have a tough time adjusting in this new normal and companies that have used financial leverage too growth through M and A or prop up earnings through buybacks as we feel that long term corporate interest rates are headed higher and companies using financial engineering will be punished.
3. We will use a put call option strategy with a roughly 70-30 put to call ratio in stocks that we feel have a chance to have a big move in either direction. Such a ratio will allow us to roughly break even or make money if the bull market continues or make a killing if there is a finally a bust.
4. The long term trend in rates is up. We have specific trades to profit from this trend (we put these trades on a few weeks ago).
What must be remembered is we will have clashing leadership some of the leaders of the old normal are still in power (the current fed Chairwoman, many leaders in Europe). However, it looks like the shift to populism and government power is now in motion and we must be aware of this. If this shift is happening there will be less inclination for the Fed and other central banks to prop up markets . This is also important when looking at a potential sharp decline in the stock market.
I made changes in my accounts, but more importantly for you right now I see new trades to do to take advantage of what is to come.
And some of these trades can be done with options so that you can roll a little amount of money into a trade into a big potential payoff.
I'm sure you have owned stocks before and watched them rocket up in value. You know the excitement. Last year was a great year. It's a feeling I've experienced time and time again and so have the people who have taken advantage of my AddictedtoProfits stock market advisory service.
However, if you are like most people I'm sure you have also had the opposite experience of buying a stock or mutual fund only to watch it fall week after week. You probably held on hoping it would go up. But it didn't. Then you just couldn't take it anymore so you took your loss. You bought the wrong thing at the wrong time.
You may be holding some turds now that you are thinking of getting rid of.
Yes there are things that need to be sold!
And things that can be bought!
Odds are that you got in this bad investment thanks to the "advice" of a newsletter writer, stock broker, investment advisor, or because of some article you read or person you heard on TV.
If you are like me you have discovered that most of the advice out there is wrong. Terribly wrong.
I learned this myself when I started my career as a writer and advisor. It seems like it has been so long ago. Now a days I travel all over the world and speak at investment conferences in the United States and Canada where I am known as an expert on the commodity markets and gold and as someone with an incredible track record.
You need to follow and listen to someone who knows that they are doing in the stock market - right now. The markets are changing and you have got to adapt to them.
Last year was a great year, but now the market is shaky in floating land and money is rotating into new sectors that will be the big plays of the year.
It is gold that was the bull story of 2016 as gold stocks soared by doubling. I was in and my readers were in and we killed it!
And we got cautious ahead of the recent gold dump!
I told people to take some profits in their gold stocks in July and August.
And yes I will buy it again, but right now I see other things I think are developing first.
This is the time in which you must be flexible and adapt to changing market conditions.
Before I tell you anything else, please let me tell you a bit about myself.
I'm a regular guest on ROBTV and BNN - Canada's version of CNBC - where my opinions on the stock market and commodities are sought out - and where investing outside the box is not a crime. As a result my advisory business has experienced rapid growth while my name reputation has spread far and wide.
But I'm not as well known in the United States, because I have never been on CNBC. You see they don't want to hear about anything else, but buying US stocks.
And I suspect they may be afraid that I'll encourage people to get out of the US stock market - which is what the mutual fund companies that advertise on CNBC make their money off of - keeping you in their US stocks.
You see if you buy a mutual fund through a broker that broker gets a trail from that fund as long as you continue to hold it. That's how they make a living. This gives them a vested interest in having you just hold the fund forever. If you sell it they lose the trail commission the fund is paying them and so does the brokerage house.
The brokerage business is geared to do one thing - get control of your money and stick it in these investments so that they can make money off of you. Almost all of the people I met in the industry over the years were bullish on the market all of the time and that's why almost all of the advice you get about the stock market is dead wrong.
My success in the markets has come by applying what I call a "quartet" of security analysis that includes:
1 - Mass Psychology - measuring the sentiment of the masses to identify extremes of bearish or bullish sentiment and taking a contrarian position
2 - Technical analysis - using charts and trend analysis to determine when the right to take a contrarian position is and then knowing to sell.
3 - Monetary conditions - factoring in the broad macro-economic environment and keeping my pulse on the actions of the Federal Reserve and its effect on the money supply and various asset classes and currencies that make up the global financial system.
4 - Fundamental analysis - understanding how valuation and earnings is likely to impact an individual stock in order to narrow down my investment positions to only the best stocks in the market.
I also have nurtured contacts in the commodity world so that I know what is going on with individual mining and energy companies ahead of the general public. It's not secret knowledge I got, but hard work and talking to the right people that makes the difference. These contacts have enabled me to identify small companies that grow into large companies before mainstream analysts ever do.
That means that at times I have been able to get into stocks trading for less than $1 and then watch them rise over ten fold in price.
It has taken my experience in the market and contacts in the industry to be able to do this and if you subscribe to Addicted to Profits you will discover the benefits I can bring to you first hand.
What Will I Get
?
As a premium member you will receive:
- Every four weeks you will receive my comprehensive 16 page plus monthly newsletter, designed to give you a big picture overview of the stock market so that you can prepare yourself for any major trend changes in the market and be appraised of newly rising sectors in the ever changing economic environment.
- Each week I will send you my weekly technical rap in which I go through a dozen or so of the most important market and sector charts you need to know about. Simply looking at this will give you an idea of what is really going in the stock market and enable you to outsmart the Wall Street crowd and even impress your friends, family, and colleagues with your knowledge of what is really going on in the stock market.
- At key times I also will send you critical emails when I feel there is something happening that you MUST know about or an opportunity that I think is to important for you to miss.
- I also have a trading blog that I update whenever I take an important position in the stock market or decide now is the time to book profits so you know exactly what I am doing and when. I also keep my pulse on all of my positions so that you don't have to worry about any surprises that may come.
- When I recommend a stock I provide you with full company profiles and store these profiles in a special archive area that you will have instant access to once you sign up.
- Along with all of this I also will send you weekly audio podcasts for one on one fireside talks about the market and our positions we may have in it together.
As you can see this all in one package is designed to do two things - keep you in the know when it comes to what is really happening in the stock market and make you money with my market calls and stock picks.
With the opportunities I see lining up in the financial markets I believe now is the best time possible for you to become a subscriber.
How Much Does this Cost?
A membership to my Addicted to Profits Premium Members service is only $70 a month (every 30 days).
Once you sign up you will receive instant access to my private members only area and then will receive email updates when I put new material in it.
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This means that you will have a full 60 days refund period after your first purchase to evaluate the service. You basically will be taking absolutely no risk when you sign up. If you aren't happy just ask for your money back. It's that simple, but I'm convinced you will find it valuable, because I have a very small refund rate and lots of happy customers.
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You can reach me (Dave Skarica) directly at [freemarketdave@yahoo.com]
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