MLB Baseball - The Hidden Sports Betting GEM
Baseball Betting Genius Uses The MONEYBALL SECRETS to DOMINTATE VEGAS!
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1). What the Bookies WANT You to FORGET about Baseball Betting Strategy
2). The Biggest SECRET Regarding how to SUCCESSFULLY Bet on MLB baseball
3). Handicapper or SCAMdicapper? 3 Ways to Separate the MLB BASEBALL Betting EXPERTS from the Pretenders!
4). The 10 Commandments of a WINNING Baseball Season
5). Advanced MLB Handicapping technology, resources, and websites to help YOU MAKE MONEY betting on MLB baseball!
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You will also learn:
How to DOMINATE Vegas moneylines using the advanced BASEWINNER line How to effectively use sabermetrics and game-theory to dramatically shift the odds in your favor The Biggest MISTAKE that 99% of baseball handicappers make, and how you can spot this IMMEDIATELY Advanced Sabermetrics: Base Runs (BsR), Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP), Defense Independent Pitching Statistics (DIPS), among others used precisely to identify value in the betting lines The TRUTH about baseball handicaping that the bookies DON”T WANT YOU TO KNOW The DISCIPLINE required to become a success, year in and year out. The reason why Major League Baseball presents valuable opportunities every single day during the season, especially in comparison to other more popular sports The TRUTH about the handicapper service industry The drawbacks of “chase systems” other people try to sell, and why they are LOSING systems in the long run
“The Basewinner model is a leader in the field of advanced metrics and Saber-capping with an emphasis on transparency and honesty. This is the future of winning MLB Betting, evidenced by the incredible results!”
Gill Alexander - Host of The Betting Dork Podcast
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DAILY BASEWINNER PROJECTIONS:
Each relevant metric is condensed into an easy to read format for your convenience:
VEGAS: The Vegas money line and total for each game BW: The BASEWINNER line and total, based on the advanced data in the proprietary BaseWinner model STRT: Starting pitching run number constructed for each pitcher’s advanced metrics EIP- Expected Innings Pitched based on pitching history for each teams expected starter and relievers FLD- Fielding runs saved/cost number. The BaseWinner’s proprietary fielding run number based on four advanced fielding metrics. The number is calculated for each team’s anticipated starters for that day OFF- Each team’s offensive run number derived from each team expected starter batter’s statistically significant advanced metrics. These numbers are adjusted for park factors, expected at-bats, expected progression/regression and the day’s situational match-up Also incorporated into this handicapping model is key umpire numbers, park factors and relevant Base Running stats
Your Secret CHEAT SHEET - Making Baseball Betting FUN AND EASY!
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100% PROVEN & DOCUMENTED Records – Monitored by the Independent Third Party, [LINE.com](http://www.line.com/sports-handicapper-rankings/baseball/mlb/12/adj_units)
Top MLB Handicappers 2011
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Who Is The BaseWinner?
The personality known as “The Basewinner” is actually a real person. My name is Mark Borchard and I am 40 years old. I am involved in two other successful businesses, have a background in Economics, and have spent about 1,500 hours annually for the past 10 years analyzing individual MLB games and developing MLB models and data sets.
I made my first baseball bets during the 1990 World Series. I bet on the A’s in all four games as heavy faves. They were swept and I was smoked. I have learned so much since then.
Since that time, I have learned the hard way many of the pitfalls of this industry. I signed up as a client with several scam artists early on in my betting career. I walked out in disgust after working two days for a highly known tout, which turned out to be eye opening experience behind the scenes on how the operation was run, and eventually became an inflection point in my career.
These experiences fired me up to handicap properly. Using my background in economics and statistics, I went to work, with the goal of building an advanced prediction algorithm, using statistics and information not available to most handicappers. Advancing on the work of Bill James, the Runs Created formula became a pivotal stepping stone on which to build a long term, consistently winning system. I also decided that if I ever got good enough to the point where my information was valuable, I would let others access this information for a reasonable amount. I would love nothing more than to see this become a respectable industry, on the same level as the stock market. This is my contribution to the effort. 100% transparency, no tricks, consistent long term profits.
Recent history, in the form of the yearly results, indicates I have built one of the best data sets of any MLB handicapper in the business. Every day is a learning process, but I feel I am one of the most knowledgeable people in the world when it comes to analyzing MLB value.
Meet The BaseWinner:
[BaseWinner](http://soundcloud.com/line_com/basewinner) by [Line.com, Inc](http://soundcloud.com/line_com)
My lifestyle is maintained by my other business and I don’t feel the need to get “rich” selling picks. I enjoy teaching my clients the discipline and strategies needed to be successful in the long run. This is not a “get rich quick” system, and if you expect to win every game, this is not for you. However this investment compares favorably to any alternatives, year after year. We are building an amazing resource of information, and I personally invite you to learn more about Sabermetrics, “Moneyball”, and ultimately how to dominate baseball betting. The best place to start is our FREE email newsletter, which will IMMEDIATELY get you up to speed on the fundamentals of the system. Cheers!
Whether you’re a die-hard baseball fan, a sports enthusiast, or simply an opportunist, you’re about to fall in love with the MONEYBALL strategy, and what it can do for you!
BaseWinner Model – 2012 Updates
This model has been updated for 2012 and here are the highlights:
The analysis of over 100 pertinent statistical elements that define a given match-up Every player’s offensive and defensive numbers adjusted for park factors and progression/regression Incorporation of advanced Sabermetrics such as adjusted xFIP, adjusted Base Runs Created and UZR’s. In depth breakdown of important situational categories including Starter, Relief, Road, Home, vs. Left, vs. Right The probability and expected odds resulted from combination of all relevant data for each game on the card Official picks adjusted for ground ball/fly ball percentage consideration, ball park factors, umpire bias and more
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