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Stock Market Timing Strategies | Simple, Powerful
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Need Better Trading Results?
We provide market timing signals for QQQQ (the Nasdaq 100 Index Tracking Fund), the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) for US Federal Employees, and Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) rotation strategies.
Our signals are 100% mechanical - and are easy to follow with clear, unambiguous daily signals for QQQQ trading (and QLD - QID for Long and Short margined positions) and weekly signals for ETF rotation. Our TSP signals (US federal employee savings account) provide for reallocations no more than twice a month.
The ETF signals only change once per week (at most)
The weekly signals are updated on the weekend. If you check on Sunday evening or Monday morning, you will see if there is a switch to be made that week. The top date in each table indicates through what date the system was last updated - it will usually be the last trading day of the week.
The ETF trade tables assume trading at the market close on the day after a switch. Thus, usually the trade happens on Monday. The trade tables shown on this page reflect all the signals except for the last trade or two which are available only to members.
The systems do not assume use of margin when trading. The system's results and the current signal are posted in the table on the right. If there is an ETF switch, the top row's "Position" ETF will be different from last weeks and will be highlighted in yellow.
When market conditions are favorable, the ETF 12 system holds three ETFs - when market conditions are generally unfavorable for high returns, the system switches to the ETF TLT. TLT seeks results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the long-term sector of the United States Treasury market.
Prior to 2004, the results assume trading stock symbol ASA in place of the ETF GLD which was not available before then. [For a list of the exchange traded funds that this system switches between, click here](market-timing/etfs-traded.html).
[Earlier history for the ETF 12 timing and rotation system is here.](market-timing/etf-timing-system-12-history.html)
If there is a new trade it will be posted during the weekend update for you to make your trade on Monday.
System results assume trading at the close during the next market day.
We first posted the ETF12 switching system on the web on October 26, 2008. Results before that date are back tested.
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Three different kinds of stock market timing signals
We provide three kinds of signals for timing and trading the stock market:
1. QQQQ Market Timing
The QQQQ Timing System 3 is designed to provide better than buy-and-hold returns while attempting to minimize large trade losses or drawdowns. The system is based on the same timing model used in the QQQQ Timing System 1 (which has been posted continuously on the web since 2004). If differs from System 1 in that it incorporates an additional timing trigger that keeps the system from taking positions that go against the intermediate trend.
Instead of going "Long" or "Short" against the long term trend, the system moves to the safety of cash unless conditions are especially favorable for a counter-trend move.
By normally refusing to move counter-trend, the system attempts to limit its losses. The system is not designed to make the maximum gains possible, but rather it seeks a reasonable balance between aggressive market timing and minimizing drawdowns.
This system is 100% mechanical, with daily signals for QQQQ trading (or QLD - QID for Long and Short margined positions).
The trade table on this page shows the QQQQ Timing System 3 trades except for the last day and the current signal which are available only to members.
2. ETF Timing Rotation Systems
Signals for rotating between exchange traded funds (ETFs) based on the predicted relative strengths of the various ETFs we track. For some of the ETF systems, the signal moves to the relatively stable ETF, symbol, TLT, when the market is showing general weakness. TLT for our ETF systems serves the purpose of cash, although a more conservative approach could be used by moving to money market funds (cash equivalents) when our systems call for TLT.
The ETF signals are provided on a weekly basis on the weekends for trading on Monday near the close or near the open on Tuesday. A few of the systems trade almost every week, but most of the systems trade much more infrequently.
3. TSP Systems for Timing the Thrift Savings Plan Funds Available to US Federal Employees
The third type of system we publish is specifically for trading the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) Funds available to US federal employees as part of the retirement system. TSP is in essence a type of 401k plan for federal employees. These TSP systems trade only twice per month at most. Often, the systems do not trade for months at a time. These longer term systems could be used by anyone when trading mutual funds or ETFs that are similar in investment performance to the TSP funds.
The TSP systems are updated weekly on the weekends, but only trade once or twice a month at most. [More information and a demo of one of the TSP strategies is available here.](market-timing/TSP-timing-system.html)
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The systems work with small or large trading accounts.
One trade gaining only 4% on a $5000 trading account will return $200. One winning trade could pay for your entire membership several times over. All the rest of the winning trades will be pure profit for you.
Signals are easy to use
The signals are provided in clear, unambiguous terms.
Check for new trades only on weekends
The ETF signals are updated weekly - usually by Saturday evening. The signals only change once per week (at most). The QQQQ market timing signals are updated daily - only check once per day. The TSP signals only change once or twice a month at most.
For the ETF systems, if you check no later than Sunday evening or Monday morning, you will see if there is a switch to be made that week. It takes only 5 minutes a week to follow the ETF and TSP systems.
No software to install - no data to update
Each time one of our systems has a new signal, we post them on the web. You don't have to use any software to use these systems - all you need is access to a web browser to view the signals on the web.
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Different systems for different styles of trading
Membership includes systems for different styles of trading, including systems for more active traders. Some systems trade very infrequently, but others trade several times a week if you are comfortable with a more aggressive trading style.
Get access to all of the signals for one low price
Membership is now available - get access to all the system signals for one low price with no recurring billing. One successful trade should pay for your membership many times over.
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