Expected Poker - Texas Hold'em Poker Walk Thru
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I turned $15 into $1,041.26
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This demonstration was produced:
_SEPT 30__TH THRU TO OCT 13TH__ 2008_
Playing only $3 and $5
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Expected Poker 2008 - Program Contents
1. HOW TO FIND THE FISH
2. STATISTICS FULLY EXPLAINED
3. HD VIDEOS & HAND ANALYSIS
4. GAME THEORY STRATEGIES
5. PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILING
6. CASH GAME WALK-THRU
7. ADVANCED BETTING STRATEGIES
8. HOW TO ADJUST TO WIN
9. AND MORE... (see below)
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POKER TIP #1: DROWNING ON FISHHOOKS
In a 10 player game, play JJ as you would 88. Most players put
fishhooks on a pedestal. The truth is that 23% of the cards in the
deck are of a higher rank. Also, the odds that an opponent has a
higher pocket pair is about 10%. Yes, thats right. In a 10 player
game, every ten times you have JJ an opponent will hold QQ, KK, or AA!
And, the odds that an overcard (A, K, or Q) hits the flop is about
50%. All things considered, in a 10 player game, its best to play JJ
like a smaller pair like 88. This will slow you down so that you are
waiting to flop an overpair or a set. This increases your long-term
profitability in most 10 player cash games. POKER TIP #2: THE
INDEPENDENT CHIP MODEL
Independent Chip Modeling is used to assist EV calculations.
Calculating EV in a Sit N Go is inaccurate because we use tournament
chips to win payout positions. In a 9 payer game these payouts are:
1st = 50%, 2nd = 30%, and 3rd = 20%. It is also important to recognize
that tournament chips are not all created equal. For example, if we
have 80% of the chips on the table then we have much less risk than
our opponents who have only 20% of the chips. We need to consider this
dynamic to accurately gauge our expected return / long-term profits.
The ICM calculation utilizes the relation between chip stacks to
estimate real $cash winnings (rather than tourney chips). We calculate
the probability of winning 1st, 2nd, or 3rd by comparing the stack
sizes. We then multiply by the payout which results to ICM equity
(ICMeq). We now include 2 x ICM Spreadsheets to automate this process.
This strategy guarantees an advantage against over 90% of players!.
*All testimonials solicited and individuals were not compensated.
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Professional Cash Game Walk Thru, Expert Strategies.
Simulation Data from over 100 000 000 analyzed hands.
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Covers Virtually Every Aspect of Sit & Go Tournaments
Independent Chip Models for Mastering Bubble Play
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25 First Place SNG Tournaments in HD Video
This is 40+ hours of video digitally processed to 15 mins each!
Fast HD video so you can see the cards
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About the Author
I have enjoyed playing cards for my entire life. My earliest
memories are of me with a deck of cards. I even remember reading the
Hoyles book of card strategies when I was 10. When I grew up I chose
to study computer science and anthropological sociology.
In 2002, I learned how to play Texas Hold’Em. I was working on an
artificial intelligence engine to read and understand the English
language. I was introduced to colleagues at the University of Alberta
and learned about their AI project, POKI. POKI is an artificial
intelligence program that plays poker. As a computer scientist this
fascinated me. I decided to write my own computer simulations for
Texas Hold’Em. The simulations gave me great insight into the
mathematical strategies behind the cards.
I am a computer geek but I am not a gambler. As a result, this was
my first introduction to online poker. I took up a site’s promotion
for a free $20 bank roll. I started playing in my spare time. I played
really low limit Texas Hold’Em (.25/.50). In a month and a half, I
was up $1800 and was now playing $1/2 Limit. Since then, I have always
been a winning poker player. In fact, I have never had a losing month.
Shortly around this time, Chris Moneymaker won the WSOP and the poker
scene exploded. A year later, I was playing Poker in Vegas with Chris
Moneymaker. But before I left for Vegas, I worked a day job with an ad
agency. I would get home and begin my evening session of about 2,000
to 3,000 hands (8-12 tables simultaneously @ ~60 hands per hour).
I eventually decided to take the dive and move to Vegas. I rented a
condo in Park Avenue (5-10 miles south of the MGM) and I started to
play daily at the Bellagio. I actually visited and played at nearly
every casino in Vegas. I usually settled back at the Bellagio, MGM,
Wynn, or the Venetian.
It didn’t take long before I was eating at the best restaurants,
shopping at Gucci, and partying with celebrities at Tao or Light. I
was making pure cash money and enjoyed spending it. I dropped about
$2k one year for a Paris Hilton New Year’s party at Tao and we never
even saw the chick. :)
But poker was not all fun and games. Some weeks it felt like I had
cheated on lady luck and she threw me out - into the middle of the
desert to shrivel up and die. Okay, maybe that’s a bit dramatic but
Las Vegas is a party packed city, and in the middle of the chaos, you
can still feel alone after a week of ridiculous losses. Many gross
suck-outs just seem too strange for someone to call; like the time I
had JJ and pretended to bully the Big Blind with a big raise (5x BB).
It was Dione Sanders, on the BB, and he flat called. The flop left me
with an over pair. I checked, to pretend that I missed with AK and
entice a bet. Sure enough he couldn’t resist betting and when he did
I raised him all in. He called with Q6o (no pair and no draw). We
didn’t need to show our hand but I flipped over JJ and his face
clearly stated that he was very behind. But, he hit a Q and took down
the $1000 pot. Like most pro-poker players, my bad beat stories are
endless but the only successful technique is to focus on the present
and prepare for the future.
Eventually, I left lady luck for lady love who swept me away to
Montreal, Canada. I fell in love with the city and turned heavily to
online poker. From here I would make trips down to Atlantic City to
avoid the cold Canadian winters. Atlantic City is a pretty cool place.
Not even close to Vegas but the poker rooms are always packed with
excited gamblers. The games are easy.
In Montreal, I started a new database to track all of my online
hands which enabled me to perfect my systems. My curiosity pushed me
to expand and I ended up developing profitable systems for 10 handed,
6 handed, heads-up, short stacked and deep stacked cash games as well
as Sit N Go Tournaments and Multi Table Tournaments.
As I get older, I feel the need to move on to more complicated and
permanent projects. Poker has not left me with a sense of completion
or fulfillment. This is why I am finally publishing my information.
The poker books that are currently on the market are vague and
incomplete. I have even questioned whether or not the authors really
want to help the masses. I mean, most of the authors are players
themselves so they have no real incentive to improve the quality of
opponent. As I found myself growing apart from the industry I figured
why not give everyone the truly profitable strategies. At this point,
I do not rely on poker as my primary source of income and as a result,
I don’t mind sharing my secrets. To be honest, I think publishing
these secrets is a noble act. I am trying to improve the quality of
player so no-one can take advantage of them.
Good Luck. But, if you read and learn you won’t need it.
For all support enquiries, please email: info@expectedpoker.com
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